Home Purchase Sentiment released by Fannie Mae had its first decline since November 2023, as consumers lowered their expectation in the latest mortgage rate outlook. Twenty-nine percent of the survey respondents in March believed that rates will go down over the next 12 months, a sizable drop from 35% recorded in February. The share of consumers who said it would be easy to get a home mortgage today also declined 4 percentage points to 42% last month. Strong jobs report and concerns about inflation remaining sticky were likely the reasons behind the increased pessimism in rates movement and mortgage eligibility. Despite the drop in optimism towards rates, consumers continued to feel more positive about the current housing market conditions. Those who said it was a good time to buy rose 2 percentage points to 21% and those who said it was a good time to sell inched up 1 percentage points to 66%. Both measures have increased multiple months in a row, which is an encouraging sign for the spring home buying season. (April 15, 2024)